The regime change in Hungary is profoundly transforming the dynamics of international relations in Europe and opening up new scope for action for both the EU and regional cooperation. However, European capitals should be aware that the foreign policy decisions of the new Hungarian government will be closely intertwined with domestic political developments in the country. To further support Hungary's reform ambitions and Europe's capacity to act, international partners, particularly Germany, should adopt a strategic approach that does not inadvertently undermine this development.
This applies, among other things, to Germany's diplomatic relations with the Central European states. Hungary’s new head of government has pledged to strengthen regional cooperation, which could increase the region’s political weight in the upcoming negotiations on the EU’s next Multiannual Financial Framework. Regular consultations should be established to coordinate politically sensitive issues.
One pressing issue is the release of frozen EU funds for Hungary. Despite expiring deadlines, a gradual release should be facilitated to support the implementation of reforms and the restoration of democracy and the rule of law.
New possibilities also appear in EU enlargement policy, as Hungary’s relations with both Ukraine and the Western Balkan states are set to transform. The previous government’s blockade policy regarding Ukraine’s accession process is set to be lifted. Furthermore, the end of Budapest’s disruptive influence in the Western Balkans opens up new opportunities for the region to move closer to the EU.
In the latest issue of Berlin Perspectives, Daniel Hegedüs analyses the implications of the Hungarian regime change for German EU and foreign policy and demonstrates that the success of the newly emerging policy options at the European level is closely linked to domestic political developments in Hungary.
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